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Stay aligned with key macro events, sentiment shifts, and market developments.
On Friday, December 5, 2025, U.S. stock indexes saw modest gains, bringing the S&P 500 near its all-time high. The S&P 500 rose by 0.2% to 6,870.40, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.2% to 47,954.99, and the Nasdaq composite gained 0.3% to 23,578.13. However, the Russell 2000, a key index for smaller companies, dipped 0.4% to 2,521.48. This marked a relatively calm week for Wall Street after a period of volatile trading. Ulta Beauty notably boosted market sentiment with a stronger-than-expected profit and positive holiday sales outlook. For the week, the major indexes posted gains: the S&P 500 rose 0.3%, the Dow gained 0.5%, the Nasdaq climbed 0.9%, and the Russell 2000 advanced 0.8%. Year-to-date, the indexes showed strong performance, with the Nasdaq leading at a 22.1% increase, followed by the S&P 500 at 16.8%, the Russell 2000 at 13.1%, and the Dow at 12.7%.
On December 5, 2025, Wall Street advanced as investors responded positively to the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, which showed core inflation at 2.8% year-on-year for September—slightly below the expected 2.9%. This data, delayed due to a 43-day government shutdown, strengthened expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. Market sentiment further improved following the University of Michigan’s December survey, which indicated easing inflation expectations among consumers. Federal Funds futures suggest an 87% likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed’s upcoming meeting, with more cuts expected by mid-2026, despite ongoing labor market resilience. Market indexes responded favorably: the Dow rose 0.49%, the S&P 500 gained 0.46%, and the Nasdaq gained 0.56%. In corporate news, Warner Bros. Discovery shares jumped 3.2% following Netflix’s $72 billion acquisition of a major Hollywood asset. Meanwhile, Hewlett Packard Enterprise fell after weak revenue forecasts, and Oklo declined 6.3% amid a $1.5 billion share sale. Cooper Companies rose 8.3% on news of a strategic business review. The small-cap Russell 2000 outpaced the broader market with a 1.2% gain.
On Friday, the U.S. stock market approached its all-time high, with the S&P 500 rising 0.2% to finish just 0.3% below its previous record from October. The Dow Jones gained 104 points (0.2%), and the Nasdaq added 0.3%, capping a relatively quiet trading week. Ulta Beauty surged 12.7% after strong earnings and raised its annual revenue forecast, while Victoria’s Secret rallied 18% on a smaller-than-expected loss and an improved sales outlook. Warner Bros. Discovery rose 6.3% amid news that Netflix intends to acquire it for $72 billion, though the deal faces regulatory hurdles. Netflix shares fell 2.9%, and Paramount Skydance dropped 9.8%. SoFi Technologies also declined 6.1% after announcing a $1.5 billion share sale. Overall market optimism is supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next week, marking the third cut in 2025 to address a slowing labor market. Inflation remains above target, but recent data shows softening inflation expectations. The 10-year Treasury yield edged higher to 4.13%. International markets were mixed, with gains in Germany and South Korea, while Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 1.1% due to weak consumer spending and speculation about interest rate hikes.
Playbooks & Recaps
Short, actionable reads focused on structure, execution, and the tools we build for TradeStation®.
Learn how Volume Profile maps traded volume by price to reveal high-volume nodes (HVNs), low-volume nodes (LVNs), POC, and Value Area—and h…
Explore how Market Profile structures (value area, POC, tails) can help you identify high-probability entry zones in any market.
Use Average True Range (ATR) to set consistent stops and position sizes so every trade risks about the same amount—no matter how volatile t…