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Market Updates

Latest market news

Stay aligned with key macro events, sentiment shifts, and market developments.

Wall St gains as PCE data boosts Fed rate-cut bets

On December 5, 2025, Wall Street advanced as investors responded positively to the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, which showed core inflation at 2.8% year-on-year for September—slightly below the expected 2.9%. This data, delayed due to a 43-day government shutdown, strengthened expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. Market sentiment further improved following the University of Michigan’s December survey, which indicated easing inflation expectations among consumers. Federal Funds futures suggest an 87% likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed’s upcoming meeting, with more cuts expected by mid-2026, despite ongoing labor market resilience. Market indexes responded favorably: the Dow rose 0.49%, the S&P 500 gained 0.46%, and the Nasdaq gained 0.56%. In corporate news, Warner Bros. Discovery shares jumped 3.2% following Netflix’s $72 billion acquisition of a major Hollywood asset. Meanwhile, Hewlett Packard Enterprise fell after weak revenue forecasts, and Oklo declined 6.3% amid a $1.5 billion share sale. Cooper Companies rose 8.3% on news of a strategic business review. The small-cap Russell 2000 outpaced the broader market with a 1.2% gain.

AI bubble a "key downside risk" to U.S. economy, OECD warns

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has issued a warning in its semiannual projection that a potential AI-driven stock market bubble poses a significant downside risk to the U.S. economy. While the U.S. economy is expected to grow by 2% in 2025, the OECD forecasts a slowdown to 1.7% in 2026, with a modest recovery to 1.9% in 2027. The OECD notes that current optimism around artificial intelligence investments has buoyed equity markets, but a correction in these markets could destabilize economic growth. Additionally, the labor market is projected to weaken and inflationary pressures from tariffs are expected to persist. Globally, economic activity in 2026 is also anticipated to slow due to trade impacts and political uncertainties. The OECD highlights that the broader financial market risks in the current environment are substantial and merit close observation.

Wall Street rises to the edge of its all-time high

On Friday, the U.S. stock market approached its all-time high, with the S&P 500 rising 0.2% to finish just 0.3% below its previous record from October. The Dow Jones gained 104 points (0.2%), and the Nasdaq added 0.3%, capping a relatively quiet trading week. Ulta Beauty surged 12.7% after strong earnings and raised its annual revenue forecast, while Victoria’s Secret rallied 18% on a smaller-than-expected loss and an improved sales outlook. Warner Bros. Discovery rose 6.3% amid news that Netflix intends to acquire it for $72 billion, though the deal faces regulatory hurdles. Netflix shares fell 2.9%, and Paramount Skydance dropped 9.8%. SoFi Technologies also declined 6.1% after announcing a $1.5 billion share sale. Overall market optimism is supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next week, marking the third cut in 2025 to address a slowing labor market. Inflation remains above target, but recent data shows softening inflation expectations. The 10-year Treasury yield edged higher to 4.13%. International markets were mixed, with gains in Germany and South Korea, while Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 1.1% due to weak consumer spending and speculation about interest rate hikes.

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